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It was two months ago that the young forward found himself on the pitch at Sunderland, looking confused while his coach scolded him over missing a through-ball. At that point, as Villa went six without a win, it wasn't clear whether his performances were a symptom or a cause of Villa's broader struggles.

“When Rogers netted his second… Emery tore off his coat, threw his arms wide, and bellowed in delight.”

In the latest match, though, the sideline response was entirely far more favourable. When the England international drilled in his second strike to reclaim the lead for Villa, Emery ripped off his jacket, spread his arms and shouted in triumph. The Birmingham club were on their way to ten wins in a row , despite not winning any of their first six matches, now sit a mere three points off table-toppers Arsenal.

Are They Genuine Challengers?

This is a rather hard question to resolve. Past precedent, a general sense of this institution, suggests not. Additionally, they have not been entirely convincing this season, while the victories have piled up.

As per the data, in only two games has the team registered an expected goals figure significantly higher than the opposition. For a team who have just won ten consecutive victories, the Villans look curiously susceptible – however right now the margins are falling their way.

The Rogers Recipe

The prevailing tactic seems to be to exchange chances with an opponent and wait for their talisman to save the day with a couple of crisp finishes. This occurred away to Leeds, it happened at West Ham, and once more versus United.

His opener originated from an exquisite effort, arced precisely inside the upright from a wide position. For his second proved to be a somewhat messier replica of goal number one as he seized on a pass from Watkins.

“Rogers’ right foot is now akin to Robben’s legendary left: forewarned does not mean forearmed, and stopping him is another matter entirely.”

Is It Sustainable?

Logic says not. In the recent win, the opposition managed more shots and more direct attempts. They have triumphed in eight consecutive games by the narrowest of margins. The defence has been breached in all except one of those matches.

Regression to the mean might be the greatest opponent the club must confront over the coming weeks. Rogers, almost certainly, will not continue to blasting his shots past despairing goalkeepers forever.

A Case for Belief

Maybe there exists a different scenario whereby, instead of outcomes regressing to match displays, the team's displays improve to justify the wins. Important figures might still rediscover their best form.

• The main striker might resume scoring again.
• The attacking talent might become the force he showed at Borussia Dortmund.
• Tyrone Mings and Pau Torres are set to regain fitness, strengthening an occasionally vulnerable defensive unit.

This could contain the possibility for a sustained push, yet it seems unlikely can persist in leaning entirely on one man.

Enjoying the Ride

However, this is a surprise. It seemed improbable Villa would sit third at Christmas. And without a doubt two months ago, no one envisioned the young forward now would be leading a hunt for the title while establishing himself as an essential player for the national team.

This winning streak should be enjoyed for the very reason that it appears so improbable. When the hero faced the home supporters at the final whistle orchestrating the applause, he appeared to be thoroughly enjoying it. As he deserves to. Such periods are uncommon in the sport and should be relished.